Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 118.716041 131.301640 144.250870 158.542279 173.844742 189.711014 207.377650
2024-10-27 97.801850 116.296839 136.303982 159.435718 185.321345 213.277395 245.630663
2024-11-03 85.043259 108.127715 134.260699 165.733416 202.300698 243.146834 291.911063
2024-11-10 73.842193 100.099067 131.121191 169.899561 216.482902 270.059801 335.732290
2024-11-17 65.114683 93.759080 128.968108 174.481824 230.782933 297.185463 380.413357
2024-11-24 58.369996 88.945883 127.928366 179.866287 245.796617 325.266663 426.781964
2024-12-01 48.454712 78.727236 118.926452 174.272663 246.487123 335.532856 451.523807
2024-12-08 41.357378 71.438135 112.937775 171.816153 250.554348 349.607163 480.840059
2024-12-15 36.653657 66.963145 110.241885 173.289215 259.415717 369.624825 517.735527
2024-12-22 32.939301 63.489449 108.547804 175.807234 269.477924 391.182550 556.820816
2024-12-29 30.784450 62.162992 109.745172 182.242791 284.836319 419.810285 605.401426
2025-01-05 28.409852 60.183441 109.742016 186.812499 297.610115 445.165506 650.080106
2025-01-12 24.816314 55.819168 105.885074 185.696054 302.610008 460.565114 682.482044
2025-01-19 21.766407 52.014367 102.575211 185.138969 308.281487 476.930429 716.464180
2025-01-26 20.360708 51.027670 103.676608 191.238900 323.612625 506.746425 768.949447
2025-02-02 18.719051 49.378605 103.527587 195.322574 336.042713 532.747489 816.687780
2025-02-09 17.360350 48.097924 103.857387 200.077328 349.482616 560.306254 866.884124
2025-02-16 16.284114 47.249604 104.836531 205.839375 364.501509 590.292736 920.812128
2025-02-23 13.578797 42.535541 98.611768 199.555755 361.055828 593.951691 938.386029
2025-03-02 11.683442 39.275353 94.697289 196.781490 362.729779 604.787421 965.923346
2025-03-09 10.525405 37.538495 93.453218 198.372929 371.112195 625.358947 1007.301109
2025-03-16 9.610433 36.244641 92.935905 201.131952 381.325550 648.701772 1052.845894
2025-03-23 9.216938 36.223538 94.887030 208.218899 398.517568 682.512033 1113.639699